2016 Hero World Challenge Betting Preview

The PGA Tour resumes with a typically high class line-up for the Hero World Challenge from Thursday and all of the pre-tournament hype is about the return of Tiger Woods. The fourteen-time major winner is an outsider in this eighteen-man field and it should be fascinating to see how he performs at the Albany Resort in The Bahamas...

  • Tiger Woods has won The Hero World Challenge five times - 2001, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2011
  • Bubba Watson won The Hero World Challenge when it was first held at Albany in 2015

1st December - 4th December Odds Won/Lost Bet

Hero World Challenge
Rickie Fowler (each way)  
Best Bet
@ 16 / 1 P

The Market Leaders

Jordan Spieth is a 6/1 favourite (Unibet) after finishing 4th at Albany in 2015, when the Ernie Els-designed course first took over hosting duties for the Hero World Challenge. Spieth arrives off the back of his victory at the Australian Open and he is worthy favourite, albeit we prefer to look for a touch of each-way value here.

Dustin Johnson joins Spieth at the head of the market and he can be backed at 6/1 with Bet Victor. The big-hitting American has won three of his past ten starts but he failed to flourish at the WGC HSBC Champions, a tournament he traditionally enjoys, and he could only finish tied 15th at Albany last year.

Meanwhile, Hideki Matsuyama is arguably the form man on the planet after winning three times and finishing runner-up in his past four starts worldwide, while he tied 6th when representing Japan at the World Cup of Golf with Ryo Ishikawa last week. Matsuyama tied 17th at Albany twelve months ago but he did sign off with a final round 66 which hints that he was getting to grips with the track.

Henrik Stenson makes his course debut and the Open Championship winner could be worth a look at 10/1.

The Return Of Woods

All of the talk leading into this event is about the return of Tiger Woods as he bids to win the Hero World Challenge for a sixth time. It is telling that the last of those five successes in this tournament came back in 2011 and you wonder whether his body will have recovered sufficiently ahead of his first competitive starts in sixteen months this week. Woods is a 40/1 shot but we simply cannot back him in this field.

Fowler Tipped To Shine

Regardless of what Woods does from here, he will have written his name indelibly into the record books of golf but the same cannot be said of Rickie Fowler... yet.

Fowler has so much potential but he has yet to produce the goods on the big stage to win a major and he is in danger of being overshadowed by many of his peers. The American will love playing with a little less pressure in this small field event though and he did tie 3rd during a progressive display in The Bahamas last year, going 70-68-65-64 over the four days.

Fowler will be desperate to sign off a winless 2016 with victory and he did hit a hot streak at this time last year, using his 3rd place finish at Albany to go 5-1-MC-2-6-8 either side of the new year. He has hinted at a return to form of late as he tied 6th at the WGC HSBC Champions prior to a runner-up effort with Jimmy Walker at the World Cup in Australia recently, while a player who has a decent record at the Open Championship should enjoy the challenge that this exposed links-style course has to offer.

Fowler is a best price 16/1 with Paddy Power and he gets the nod from us.

2016 Hero World Challenge Odds