2017 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview

Fresh from successfully backing Rickie Fowler to win the Honda Classic, our attention turns to the Chapultepec County Club near Mexico City for the 2017 WGC Mexico Championship and it promises to be a fantastic four days of action, with Sergio Garcia very much at the forefront of our betting plans as we bid for a fourth win on the PGA Tour in five events...

  • 4 of the past 7 winners of the WGC Championship have come from a starting price of 22/1 or shorter
  • Sergio Garcia has twelve top-ten finishes to his name in WGC events
  • Danny Willett has finished in the top-three in his three of past seven WGC appearances

2nd March - 5th March Odds Won/Lost Bet

WGC Mexico Championship
Sergio Garcia (each way)  
Best Bet
@ 30 / 1  
Alex Noren (each way) @ 80 / 1  
Danny Willett (each way) @ 125 / 1  
Scott Hend (each way) @ 400 / 1  

Sergio To Fire

The tournament has moved from last year's venue of Doral, where Adam Scott won by one shot, due to Doral's association with Donald Trump and the 7,3330 yard course at Chapultepec should make for an intriguing test as it is at 7,500 feet about sea level, while it is a tight, tree-lined track that could suit Garcia as the Spaniard has consistently proven his worth at similar venues.

Garcia thrives at altitude as his five appearances at the European Masters, which is held at Crans-Sur-Sierre in Switzerland, have yielded finishes of 19-3-1-4-6, while he also tied 4th when the BMW Championship was held at Cherry Hills Country Club in Colorado in 2014. A runner-up at Sun City in 2013, Garcia is oozing confidence right now as he won a strong event in Dubai last month and he tied 14th at the Honda Classic last week.

This event in Mexico should be much more to his liking and a man who has twelve top-tens in WGC events looks great value at 30/1.
Tip #1: Sergio Garcia (each way) @ 30/1 with Boylesports.

Market Leaders

It is Dustin Johnson who is 7/1 favourite this week as the Genesis Open winner prepares to make his first start as world number one and he is bidding to win a fourth WGC title, while Pebble Beach winner, Jordan Spieth (8/1), is bidding to improve after tying for 22nd at Riviera last time out.

Rory McIlroy makes little appeal at 12/1 as he makes his first start since injury in South Africa, while Henrik Stenson (14/1) also has an issue with his knee but did manage to finish runner-up to Garcia in Dubai in his most recent start. Hideki Matsuyama has two wins and two runner-up efforts to show from 2017 and he should fare better than he did at Riviera, where a round of 80 scuppered his chances.

The Each-Way Fancies

We prefer to focus our attention on players with proven pedigree at altitude this week though and Alex Noren is a tempting 80/1 at this stage. The Swede won four times during 2016, including a second European Masters title at Crans-Sur-Sierre, and he could continue on his upward trajectory by contending this week.
Tip #2: Alex Noren (each way) @ 80/1 with Paddy Power.

Danny Willett also has pedigree in the European Masters as his five appearances have yielded finishes of 2-26-5-1-12 and we are surprised he is as big as 125/1. The reigning US Masters champion obviously hit form around this time last year and he did top-five at the Maybank recently, while it augurs well that he has three top-three finishes from his past seven outings in WGC tournaments.
Tip #3: Danny Willett (each way) @ 125/1 with Betfred.

The Long Shot

Finally, a speculative punt on Scott Hend at 400/1 (Paddy Power) completes our shortlist for the week as he looks massively overpriced. The Australian finished runner-up at the European Masters during a fine 2016 campaign that saw him win twice (Thailand Classic and Queens Cup), in admittedly weak fields, and rack up ten other top-fifteen finishes.
Tip #4: Scott Hend (each way) @ 400/1 with Paddy Power.

2017 WGC Mexico Championship Odds