2017 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview

Fresh from successfully backing Rickie Fowler to win the Honda Classic, our attention turns to the Chapultepec County Club near Mexico City for the 2017 WGC Mexico Championship and it promises to be a fantastic four days of action, with Sergio Garcia very much at the forefront of our betting plans as we bid for a fourth win on the PGA Tour in five events...

  • 4 of the past 7 winners of the WGC Championship have come from a starting price of 22/1 or shorter
  • Sergio Garcia has twelve top-ten finishes to his name in WGC events
  • Danny Willett has finished in the top-three in his three of past seven WGC appearances

2nd March - 5th March Odds Won/Lost Bet

WGC Mexico Championship
Sergio Garcia (each way)  
Best Bet
@ 30 / 1  
Alex Noren (each way) @ 80 / 1  
Danny Willett (each way) @ 125 / 1  
Scott Hend (each way) @ 400 / 1  

Sergio To Fire

The tournament has moved from last year's venue of Doral, where Adam Scott won by one shot, due to Doral's association with Donald Trump and the 7,3330 yard course at Chapultepec should make for an intriguing test as it is at 7,500 feet about sea level, while it is a tight, tree-lined track that could suit Garcia as the Spaniard has consistently proven his worth at similar venues.

Garcia thrives at altitude as his five appearances at the European Masters, which is held at Crans-Sur-Sierre in Switzerland, have yielded finishes of 19-3-1-4-6, while he also tied 4th when the BMW Championship was held at Cherry Hills Country Club in Colorado in 2014. A runner-up at Sun City in 2013, Garcia is oozing confidence right now as he won a strong event in Dubai last month and he tied 14th at the Honda Classic last week.

This event in Mexico should be much more to his liking and a man who has twelve top-tens in WGC events looks great value at 30/1.
Tip #1: Sergio Garcia (each way) @ 30/1 with Boylesports.

Market Leaders

It is Dustin Johnson who is 7/1 favourite this week as the Genesis Open winner prepares to make his first start as world number one and he is bidding to win a fourth WGC title, while Pebble Beach winner, Jordan Spieth (8/1), is bidding to improve after tying for 22nd at Riviera last time out.

Rory McIlroy makes little appeal at 12/1 as he makes his first start since injury in South Africa, while Henrik Stenson (14/1) also has an issue with his knee but did manage to finish runner-up to Garcia in Dubai in his most recent start. Hideki Matsuyama has two wins and two runner-up efforts to show from 2017 and he should fare better than he did at Riviera, where a round of 80 scuppered his chances.

The Each-Way Fancies

We prefer to focus our attention on players with proven pedigree at altitude this week though and Alex Noren is a tempting 80/1 at this stage. The Swede won four times during 2016, including a second European Masters title at Crans-Sur-Sierre, and he could continue on his upward trajectory by contending this week.
Tip #2: Alex Noren (each way) @ 80/1 with Paddy Power.

Danny Willett also has pedigree in the European Masters as his five appearances have yielded finishes of 2-26-5-1-12 and we are surprised he is as big as 125/1. The reigning US Masters champion obviously hit form around this time last year and he did top-five at the Maybank recently, while it augurs well that he has three top-three finishes from his past seven outings in WGC tournaments.
Tip #3: Danny Willett (each way) @ 125/1 with Betfred.

The Long Shot

Finally, a speculative punt on Scott Hend at 400/1 (Paddy Power) completes our shortlist for the week as he looks massively overpriced. The Australian finished runner-up at the European Masters during a fine 2016 campaign that saw him win twice (Thailand Classic and Queens Cup), in admittedly weak fields, and rack up ten other top-fifteen finishes.
Tip #4: Scott Hend (each way) @ 400/1 with Paddy Power.

2017 WGC Mexico Championship Odds

Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy 6/4 8/5 11/8 8/5 13/8 6/4 6/4 6/4 -
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson 4 9/2 4 9/2 9/2 4 9/2 4 -
Henrik Stenson
Henrik Stenson - - - - - - - 14 -
Phil Mickelson
Phil Mickelson 12 11 12 11 12 12 12 12 -
Justin Thomas
Justin Thomas 8 15/2 8 15/2 15/2 8 8 8 -
Jon Rahm
Jon Rahm 28 20 20 20 25 22 18 28 -
Rickie Fowler
Rickie Fowler 28 25 25 25 33 28 28 28 -
Tyrrell Hatton
Tyrrell Hatton 40 30 25 28 33 28 22 40 -
Thomas Pieters
Thomas Pieters 40 40 33 40 40 33 40 40 -
Dan Berger
Dan Berger 25 22 25 22 20 22 25 25 -
Ross Fisher
Ross Fisher 33 30 25 28 33 33 33 33 -
Martin Kaymer
Martin Kaymer 33 33 25 33 40 28 25 33 -
J B Holmes
J B Holmes 40 33 40 33 50 40 40 40 -
Sergio Garcia
Sergio Garcia 50 45 50 45 66 66 66 50 -
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Matthew Fitzpatrick 66 70 66 70 80 80 100 66 -
Roberto Castro
Roberto Castro 100 70 100 70 80 80 125 100 -
Lee Westwood
Lee Westwood 100 100 100 100 125 100 125 100 -
Bill Haas
Bill Haas 125 90 80 90 125 80 100 110 -
Fabrizio Zanotti
Fabrizio Zanotti 50 100 125 100 125 125 125 50 -
Matt Kuchar
Matt Kuchar 66 70 66 70 125 80 66 66 -
Gary Woodland
Gary Woodland 125 100 - 100 150 125 125 110 -
Charl Schwartzel
Charl Schwartzel 150 100 100 100 175 100 200 150 -
Pat Perez
Pat Perez 100 125 150 125 200 125 200 100 -
Tommy Fleetwood
Tommy Fleetwood 100 150 100 150 200 150 200 100 -
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth 125 125 125 125 150 125 200 110 -
Andy Sullivan
Andy Sullivan 66 50 50 50 50 40 50 66 -
Jason Dufner
Jason Dufner 100 150 150 150 250 150 250 100 -
Ryan Moore
Ryan Moore 100 150 150 150 200 125 300 100 -
Justin Rose
Justin Rose 100 150 125 150 300 150 200 100 -
Kevin Kisner
Kevin Kisner 100 200 150 200 300 200 250 100 -
Jimmy Walker
Jimmy Walker 200 250 150 250 300 200 200 200 -
Byeong-Hun An
Byeong-Hun An 125 125 125 125 150 125 150 110 -
Joost Luiten
Joost Luiten 125 150 150 150 150 150 150 110 -
Hideki Matsuyama
Hideki Matsuyama - 400 - 400 400 300 - 14 -
Jason Day
Jason Day - - - - - - - 500 -
William McGirt
William McGirt 200 200 - 200 250 - 500 200 -
Rafael Cabrera Bello
Rafael Cabrera Bello 300 300 - 300 500 250 300 300 -
Chris Wood
Chris Wood - 500 - 500 500 - - 110 -
Branden Grace
Branden Grace - 500 - 500 600 400 - - -
Mackenzie Hughes
Mackenzie Hughes - 750 - 750 500 - - 150 -
Brandt Snedeker
Brandt Snedeker - 750 - 750 750 500 - 100 -
Bernd Wiesberger
Bernd Wiesberger - 750 - 750 750 500 - - -
Sean OHair
Sean OHair - 750 - 750 750 - - - -
Francesco Molinari
Francesco Molinari - 750 - 750 1000 - - 100 -
Jhonattan Vegas
Jhonattan Vegas - 750 - 750 1000 - - 200 -
Bubba Watson
Bubba Watson - 1000 - 1000 1000 - - - -
Hideto Tanihara
Hideto Tanihara - 750 - 750 1000 - - - -
Louis Oosthuizen
Louis Oosthuizen - 1000 - 1000 1000 - - 45 -
Marcus Fraser
Marcus Fraser - 1000 - 1000 1000 - - - -
Paul Casey
Paul Casey - 1000 - 1000 1000 - - 40 -
Zach Johnson
Zach Johnson - 1000 - 1000 1000 - - 66 -
Sam Brazel
Sam Brazel - 1000 - 1000 1500 - - - -
Adam Scott
Adam Scott - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 25 -
Alex Noren
Alex Noren - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Brandon Stone
Brandon Stone - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Brendan Steele
Brendan Steele - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Brooks Koepka
Brooks Koepka - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Danny Willett
Danny Willett - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
David Lipsky
David Lipsky - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Emiliano Grillo
Emiliano Grillo - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 40 -
Jeung-Hun Wang
Jeung-Hun Wang - 750 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Jim Furyk
Jim Furyk - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 66 -
Kevin Chappell
Kevin Chappell 200 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 200 -
Kevin Na
Kevin Na - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 150 -
Kyung-Tae Kim
Kyung-Tae Kim - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Matthew Griffin
Matthew Griffin - 1000 - - 2000 - - - -
Michael Hendry
Michael Hendry - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Pablo Larrazabal
Pablo Larrazabal - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Patrick Reed
Patrick Reed - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 40 -
Richard Sterne
Richard Sterne - 1000 - - 2000 - - - -
Roberto Diaz
Roberto Diaz - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Russell Knox
Russell Knox - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 66 -
Scott Hend
Scott Hend - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Scott Piercy
Scott Piercy - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 200 -
Si-Woo Kim
Si-Woo Kim - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 250 -
Soren Kjeldsen
Soren Kjeldsen - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - 200 -
Thorbjorn Olesen
Thorbjorn Olesen - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -
Yuta Ikeda
Yuta Ikeda - 1000 - 1000 2000 - - - -