2016 US PGA Championship Betting Preview

The final major of the year is a little earlier than usual thanks to the upcoming Olympics and the battle for the US PGA Championship gets underway at the Baltusrol Golf Club in Springfield, New Jersey, on Thursday. Jason Day defends the Wanamaker Trophy after breaking his major duck at Whistling Straits twelve months ago but it another player who we are backing for a maiden major success this week...

  • Sergio Garcia has racked up one win and five top-five finishes from his last ten strokeplay starts worldwide
  • Rory McIlroy has won the US PGA twice - 2012 and 2014

Special Offers:

28th July - 31st July Odds Won/Lost Bet

US PGA Championship
Sergio Garcia (each way)  
Best Bet
@ 28 / 1  
Zach Johnson (each way) @ 66 / 1  
Steve Stricker (each way) @ 110 / 1  

The Favourites

Day is amongst the 'big-three' in the betting market as he can be backed at 21/2 despite not quite being at his very best of late and it is Dustin Johnson who is an 8/1 favourite. The US Open champion is in electric touch right now as he followed up back-to-back wins at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational and the US Open with a top-ten effort at Royal Troon and a tie for 2nd in Canada last week.

Rory McIlroy (19/2) can't call upon quite the same form lines but he has a close affinity with the US PGA having won it twice before (2012 and 2014) and he will bid to continue his run of winning this tournament in alternate years.

Leading Contenders

Jordan Spieth is as big as 16/1 at this stage and it is worth noting that his struggles off the tee should be a concern as the 7,400 yard 'lower course' at Baltusrol is a place where accuracy off the tee is vital, as Phil Mickelson can attest to. Mickelson won the US PGA when it was last held here in 2005 and he is 25/1 this time, albeit it is three years since he last won a tournament.

'Lefty' was edged out by an inspired Henrik Stenson (16/1) at Royal Troon and the Open Championship winner will take some beating if he is in similar form, with the Swede having finished in the top-six in four of his last six appearances at the US PGA.

Garcia To Break His Duck

We fancy Sergio Garcia will take great heart from seeing Stenson break his major duck after such a long wait and it could be a case of 73rd time lucky in majors for the Spaniard. He has finished in the top-five of the US PGA three times previously, as well as tied 25th at Baltusrol in 2005, and his performances at The Barclays (placed at Ridgewood) and the 2009 US Open (T10) over the years would suggest that he has a close affinity with AW Tillinghast-designed tracks.

Garcia is improving with the putter and so accurate off the tee, while his recent form is sensational as he has racked up three successive top-fives (US Open, BMW International, Open Championship) since winning the Byron Nelson. Garcia is a 28/1 chance at this stage and he has plenty of trends on his side, with nine of the last ten USPGA winners having won during the same season and nine of those had finished in the top-ten in their two previous starts.
Tip #1: Sergio Garcia (each way) @ 28/1 with Paddy Power.

Each-Way Selections

Meanwhile, Zach Johnson is a player who has gone under the radar somewhat and he looks tempting at 66/1. Our selections go against the grain of recent US PGA winners being young men but we fancy the 40-year-old looks an ideal fit at Baltusrol, where he tied 17th in 2005. Johnson is a much-improved player nowadays and the two-time major winner arrives off the back of a tie for 12th at Royal Troon - his fourth successive top-seventeen finish.
Tip #2: Zach Johnson (each way) @ 66/1 with Bet Victor.

Finally, Steve Stricker heads to New Jersey very lightly raced in horse racing terms and that could play into his hands as he should be relatively fresh despite his advancing years. The 49-year-old is so consistent in majors having made the cut in each of the past 21 majors he has played since 2009, with Stricker finishing no worse than 30th in his last six outings at the US PGA. The American is so accurate from tee-to-green and the recent St Jude runner-up arrives off the back of a fine tie for 4th at Royal Troon. He is worth a speculative punt at a triple-figure price.
Tip #3: Steve Stricker (each way) @ 110/1 with Boylesports.

2016 US PGA Championship Odds